Just a short link to an article of the New York Times about AI.
In 1978, Dr. McCarthy wrote, “human-level A.I. might require 1.7 Einsteins, 2 Maxwells, 5 Faradays and .3 Manhattan Projects.”
I think we probably have the genius scientists around, but not so sure about the 0.3 Manhattan Projects!
Update: You might also want to read latest Shane Legg’s predictions about human level artificial intelligence.